Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1209.321598 1377.771389 1566.536758 1794.742540 2064.478738 2374.763238 2761.028318
2025-07-13 984.848193 1212.723869 1493.679532 1869.935465 2367.320304 3011.888720 3926.336558
2025-07-20 851.894018 1101.071864 1427.422190 1894.594191 2560.373954 3497.633250 4958.981369
2025-07-27 756.256921 1015.549952 1371.907891 1910.491194 2727.631709 3962.261309 6054.158085
2025-08-03 681.809148 945.146056 1321.984349 1918.525425 2874.255879 4411.979822 7223.018420
2025-08-10 636.501122 908.556292 1312.752260 1981.168487 3109.485321 5040.125109 8849.223070
2025-08-17 597.577989 875.571044 1302.748078 2037.859649 3340.296414 5702.251096 10719.772427
2025-08-24 560.030879 839.731312 1282.622918 2072.633800 3535.734368 6336.757005 12722.063574
2025-08-31 524.545015 802.934841 1255.808831 2090.449299 3700.677164 6944.101840 14856.274545
2025-09-07 497.886629 777.464264 1244.333996 2132.781463 3917.849257 7702.877049 17606.100818
2025-09-14 456.277294 723.016951 1177.158410 2062.310220 3896.150358 7940.655469 19118.882546
2025-09-21 420.094959 674.687544 1115.937982 1995.251553 3870.046312 8161.933738 20667.696765
2025-09-28 384.905720 625.923520 1050.630116 1914.758488 3807.891131 8299.184589 22077.150345
2025-10-05 374.524784 620.121917 1063.451649 1993.387622 4114.329042 9423.272396 27048.967333
2025-10-12 358.470003 602.584369 1052.279193 2020.354763 4306.132320 10302.611356 31673.750262
2025-10-19 342.690526 584.183297 1037.531167 2037.502399 4477.437079 11173.947655 36765.455141
2025-10-26 327.349976 565.336590 1020.039788 2046.192686 4629.327133 12033.865582 42345.414601
2025-11-02 319.311399 559.674352 1028.252295 2113.937260 4948.013100 13500.333675 51553.376415
2025-11-09 311.066593 552.901748 1033.441649 2175.276628 5262.631178 15062.729210 62503.612334
2025-11-16 301.148074 542.033657 1028.998339 2212.916163 5519.145868 16521.116289 74261.319514
2025-11-23 290.324012 528.534089 1017.695795 2232.203797 5726.849212 17883.028639 86848.894653
2025-11-30 282.364149 520.254041 1016.931905 2278.045073 6025.623488 19709.064896 104435.325562
2025-12-07 265.535236 492.581044 971.100717 2201.740802 5927.170865 19919.072397 111187.382573